Klement-style model
CONFIDENCE51%
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Ecuador
WINNER ✓
VS
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Canada
ELIMINATED
The 5 Klement factors
👑Tier
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📊FIFA Rank
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💰GDP/capita
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👥Pop. Pool
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+
🌡️Climate
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🏟️Host Bonus
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−
Klement on Ecuador
Klement: most likely 2nd in Group E behind Germany.
Klement on Canada
Co-host. Klement says host advantage is diluted but still enough to lift Canada past Czechia in the R32; loses to the Netherlands in the R16.
“If you take this model seriously, you are deluding yourself.” — J. Klement