Klement-style model
CONFIDENCE83%
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Spain
WINNER ✓
VS
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Iran
ELIMINATED
The 5 Klement factors
👑Tier
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📊FIFA Rank
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💰GDP/capita
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👥Pop. Pool
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🌡️Climate
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🏟️Host Bonus
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Klement on Spain
Klement: 'one of the two best teams in the world right now'. Yamal, Rodri, Pedri… Beats Croatia, then Belgium 3+ goals in the QF, then loses on penalties to the Netherlands in the SF. 'It's a cruel world if you are Spanish.'
Klement on Iran
Klement notes participation uncertainty given the war; if they play, 2nd in group but lose to Turkey in the R32.
“If you take this model seriously, you are deluding yourself.” — J. Klement