Klement-style model
CONFIDENCE51%
🇦🇷
Argentina
WINNER ✓
VS
🇯🇵
Japan
ELIMINATED
The 5 Klement factors
👑Tier
🇦🇷
🇯🇵
−
📊FIFA Rank
🇦🇷
🇯🇵
+
💰GDP/capita
🇦🇷
🇯🇵
−
👥Pop. Pool
🇦🇷
🇯🇵
−
🌡️Climate
🇦🇷
🇯🇵
−
🏟️Host Bonus
🇦🇷
🇯🇵
−
Klement on Argentina
Defending champions but Klement: 'nowhere near as strong as the team four years ago.' Beats Uruguay then Turkey (Messi winner). Loses to Portugal in the QF in overtime — squad depth wins out.
Klement on Japan
Klement's dark horse. Beats Brazil in the R32 (the upset of the tournament), edges Senegal in the R16, then loses to a Kane-led England in the QF.
“If you take this model seriously, you are deluding yourself.” — J. Klement