Klement-style model
CONFIDENCE70%
🇲🇽
Mexico
WINNER ✓
VS
🇹🇷
Turkey
ELIMINATED
The 5 Klement factors
👑Tier
🇲🇽
🇹🇷
−
📊FIFA Rank
🇲🇽
🇹🇷
+
💰GDP/capita
🇲🇽
🇹🇷
+
👥Pop. Pool
🇲🇽
🇹🇷
+
🌡️Climate
🇲🇽
🇹🇷
−
🏟️Host Bonus
🇲🇽
🇹🇷
+
Klement on Mexico
Co-host. Klement says the host advantage is diluted across three countries; Mexico finishes 3rd, qualifies as best third, then loses to Belgium in the R32 — 'one more heartbreak: still no fifth game'.
Klement on Turkey
First WC since 2002. Not at peak strength but edges Iran in the R32, then loses to Argentina in the R16.
“If you take this model seriously, you are deluding yourself.” — J. Klement