Klement-style model
CONFIDENCE79%
🇵🇹
Portugal
WINNER ✓
VS
🇹🇷
Turkey
ELIMINATED
The 5 Klement factors
👑Tier
🇵🇹
🇹🇷
+
📊FIFA Rank
🇵🇹
🇹🇷
+
💰GDP/capita
🇵🇹
🇹🇷
+
👥Pop. Pool
🇵🇹
🇹🇷
+
🌡️Climate
🇵🇹
🇹🇷
−
🏟️Host Bonus
🇵🇹
🇹🇷
−
Klement on Portugal
Klement's surprise finalist. Beats Ivory Coast, then Switzerland in the R16 (with Bruno Fernandes, Joao Neves, Bernardo Silva — and 'ideally without Ronaldo'), then Argentina in OT in the QF, then England in a scrappy SF, before losing 1-0 to the Netherlands in the final.
Klement on Turkey
First WC since 2002. Not at peak strength but edges Iran in the R32, then loses to Argentina in the R16.
“If you take this model seriously, you are deluding yourself.” — J. Klement