Klement-style model
CONFIDENCE84%
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Spain
WINNER ✓
VS
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Turkey
ELIMINATED
The 5 Klement factors
👑Tier
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📊FIFA Rank
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💰GDP/capita
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👥Pop. Pool
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🌡️Climate
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🏟️Host Bonus
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Klement on Spain
Klement: 'one of the two best teams in the world right now'. Yamal, Rodri, Pedri… Beats Croatia, then Belgium 3+ goals in the QF, then loses on penalties to the Netherlands in the SF. 'It's a cruel world if you are Spanish.'
Klement on Turkey
First WC since 2002. Not at peak strength but edges Iran in the R32, then loses to Argentina in the R16.
“If you take this model seriously, you are deluding yourself.” — J. Klement