Klement-style model
CONFIDENCE67%
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United States
WINNER ✓
VS
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Turkey
ELIMINATED
The 5 Klement factors
👑Tier
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📊FIFA Rank
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💰GDP/capita
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👥Pop. Pool
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🌡️Climate
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🏟️Host Bonus
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Klement on United States
Co-host. Klement: host advantage diluted across 3 countries; US finishes 3rd, qualifies as best third, then loses easily to Germany in the R32.
Klement on Turkey
First WC since 2002. Not at peak strength but edges Iran in the R32, then loses to Argentina in the R16.
“If you take this model seriously, you are deluding yourself.” — J. Klement