Klement-style model
CONFIDENCE59%
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United States
WINNER ✓
VS
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Iran
ELIMINATED
The 5 Klement factors
👑Tier
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📊FIFA Rank
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+
💰GDP/capita
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+
👥Pop. Pool
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−
🌡️Climate
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−
🏟️Host Bonus
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+
Klement on United States
Co-host. Klement: host advantage diluted across 3 countries; US finishes 3rd, qualifies as best third, then loses easily to Germany in the R32.
Klement on Iran
Klement notes participation uncertainty given the war; if they play, 2nd in group but lose to Turkey in the R32.
“If you take this model seriously, you are deluding yourself.” — J. Klement