Klement-style model
CONFIDENCE75%
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United States
WINNER ✓
VS
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Senegal
ELIMINATED
The 5 Klement factors
👑Tier
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📊FIFA Rank
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+
💰GDP/capita
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🇸🇳
+
👥Pop. Pool
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−
🌡️Climate
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+
🏟️Host Bonus
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+
Klement on United States
Co-host. Klement: host advantage diluted across 3 countries; US finishes 3rd, qualifies as best third, then loses easily to Germany in the R32.
Klement on Senegal
Africa Cup winners (per Klement). Edge over Norway for 2nd; beats Ecuador in the R32, then narrowly loses to Japan in the R16.
“If you take this model seriously, you are deluding yourself.” — J. Klement